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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen (^USDJPY)

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U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Sees Support From Higher T-note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.20%, extending Monday's gain of +0.39% and recovering a bit farther after last Friday's -0.73% decline.

The dollar saw support from improved US interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note yield Tuesday rising slightly by +0.2 bp and adding to Monday's gain of +6 bp.

The dollar this week has shown a mild recovery after falling sharply by -0.88% last Friday on the weaker-than-expected US PCE price index report, which was dovish for FOMC policy. The dollar this week has seen support from higher T-note yields and the fact that Congress last Friday passed a stop-gap funding bill and averted a US government shutdown, which would have been negative for the US economy. 

The Philadelphia Fed's Dec non-manufacturing activity index fell by -0.1 point to -6.0 from -5.9 in November, weaker than expectations for an increase to -2.4.

The markets are discounting the chances at 9% for a -25 bp rate cut at the January 28-... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 17, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
60,208 (-82,165)
57,107 (-60,668)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
81,247 (+9,061)
87,208 (-10,730)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
19,866 (-58,874)
4,548 (-31,100)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
52,132 (+7,209)
46,402 (-3,793)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
60,105 (+5,863)
22,969 (-7,708)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
2,696 (+174)
63,740 (-1,321)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
148.649 +5.73%
on 12/03/24
157.926 -0.48%
on 12/20/24
+2.405 (+1.55%)
since 11/22/24
3-Month
141.655 +10.95%
on 09/30/24
157.926 -0.48%
on 12/20/24
+13.945 (+9.74%)
since 09/24/24
52-Week
139.581 +12.60%
on 09/16/24
161.948 -2.95%
on 07/03/24
+14.705 (+10.32%)
since 12/22/23

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 158.439
2nd Resistance Point 157.854
1st Resistance Point 157.511
Last Price 157.172
1st Support Level 156.583
2nd Support Level 155.998
3rd Support Level 155.655

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52-Week High 161.948
Last Price 157.172
Fibonacci 61.8% 153.404
Fibonacci 50% 150.764
Fibonacci 38.2% 148.125
52-Week Low 139.581

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